About this dashboard
A live read of how the prediction-market consensus on Keir Starmer's premiership is evolving in real time. Use it to see what bettors think will happen, when big money moves, what the Polymarket community is saying, and how the political signal (rebels, news, tweets) lines up with the price.
The implied exit date is the median date the market currently judges Starmer will leave — derived from the four "Out by X" markets via a step-CDF interpolation. The 25th–75th percentile band shows the range of plausible exit dates given current odds. It is a projection, not a forecast.
starmer.boo
Starmer Out — Live