A Polymarket trader has placed a £1.3k bet that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office by June 30. The trade implies just a ~14% chance Starmer will have left his post by that date, according to the market.
The large trade comes as speculation continues over Starmer's political future. Polymarket, a prediction market, allows traders to bet on whether the Prime Minister will still be in power on key dates.