A large £2,549 bet has been placed on Polymarket that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office on June 30. The trade suggests the market currently implies around a ~14% chance that Starmer will remain PM by that date.
The anonymous trader, known as 'Determined-Valuable', closed the position, suggesting they believe Starmer is likely to still be PM on June 30. Polymarket is a decentralized prediction market where users can bet on the outcomes of future events.