A large £2,600 bet has been placed on Polymarket, indicating a ~0% chance that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will announce his resignation by October 31. The trade suggests strong confidence that Starmer will remain in office beyond that date.
The 'Yes' token for the market, which would pay out if Starmer resigned by October 31, is trading at close to 0% on Polymarket. This implies the market sees virtually no prospect of the Prime Minister stepping down in the coming weeks.