A £2,000 bet on Polymarket suggests there is virtually no chance Prime Minister Keir Starmer will leave office before October 31. The trade implies just ~0% probability that Starmer will be out by that date, according to the market's pricing.
The large wager comes as speculation continues around Starmer's future as Labour leader. However, the Polymarket data indicates traders see little risk of the Prime Minister resigning or being ousted in the coming months.