A £5,400 Polymarket bet has been placed on the outcome that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office on June 30. The trade suggests the market believes there is around a ~14% chance that Starmer will have left his post by that date.
The large trade, made by an account named 'Kosher-Refuse', closed a position betting that Starmer will remain Prime Minister beyond the end of June. This indicates the trader believes the probability of Starmer resigning or being ousted before then is relatively low.