A £6.4k Polymarket bet has been placed on Prime Minister Keir Starmer leaving Downing Street by October 31. The trade implies around an 8% chance that Starmer's resignation will be announced by that date.
The large trade on the 'Starmer leaving Downing Street by October 31' market suggests some market participants see a small possibility of the Prime Minister's exit in the coming months, though the implied probability remains low.