A large £853 bet has been placed on the Polymarket platform that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will leave Downing Street by October 31. The market currently implies around a ~54% chance that Starmer's resignation will be announced by that date.
The trade was made by a user named 'Crazy-Fishmonger', who opened a position backing Starmer's exit. Polymarket is a decentralized prediction market where users can bet on the outcomes of real-world events.