PM Starmer's expected resignation date moved 1 day earlier to 11 Sept 2026

· implied p50 shift

Briefing

The Prime Minister's expected resignation date has been moved 1 day earlier, from 12 September 2026 to 11 September 2026, according to Polymarket data. The shift suggests a ~86% chance Starmer will no longer be PM by that date.

The change in the implied resignation date comes as Starmer faces growing pressure from within his own party, with a number of Labour MPs publicly calling for him to step down.