PM Starmer's resignation date pushed back by 9 days to 1 Oct

· implied p50 shift

Briefing

Prime Minister Keir Starmer's resignation date has been pushed back by 9 days, from 22 September to 1 October, according to the latest Polymarket data.

The shift in the implied resignation date comes as the PM continues to face pressure from some Labour MPs to step down, with around ~86% of the market now betting he will leave office by the new October 1st deadline.