A large £1,200 Polymarket bet has been placed predicting that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office past June 30. The trade implies around a ~14% chance that Starmer will remain PM on that date.
The anonymous trader, known as 'Kosher-Refuse', opened the position betting that Starmer will not have resigned or been ousted by the end of June. Polymarket markets on Starmer's future have seen significant trading activity in recent weeks.