A £1.2k Polymarket bet has been placed on Prime Minister Keir Starmer leaving Downing Street by June 24. The market implies around a ~90% chance the resignation will be announced by that date.
The 'Yes' token in the Polymarket market is currently trading at a level suggesting an ~86% probability that Starmer will no longer be PM on June 24. The trader, known as 'Cautious-Quince', has opened a large position betting on Starmer's exit.