A £1,421 bet has been placed on Polymarket that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office past June 30, implying around a ~10% chance he leaves before that date.
The large trade by user 'Blaring-Backdrop' suggests the market sees a low probability of Starmer's resignation being announced by the end of June. Polymarket's odds currently imply ~86% chance he remains PM on that date.