PM Starmer facing £1.6k bet he'll leave by June 30, market signals ~13% chance

· large trade ·June 30

Briefing

A large £1,580 bet has been placed on Polymarket that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will leave Downing Street by June 30, signalling the market sees around a 13% chance of his resignation being announced by that date.

The trader 'Entire-Verve' opened this position, suggesting they believe there is a reasonable possibility Starmer could depart as PM within the next few months, though the overall odds still point to him remaining in office.