A £1,900 bet has been placed on Polymarket that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will leave Downing Street by December 31, according to the betting platform's data. The trade suggests the market sees around a 77% chance of Starmer's resignation being announced before the new year.
The large stake, from an account named 'Pristine-Business', represents one of the biggest bets yet placed on Starmer's future. Polymarket's 'Starmer Leaving Downing Street by December 31' market is currently trading at levels implying a ~77% probability of the PM stepping down by the end of this year.