A large £2,062 bet has been placed on Polymarket, suggesting a ~13% chance that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office past June 30. The trade was opened by a user named 'Blaring-Surge'.
The market indicates a low probability of Starmer's resignation being announced by the end of June. However, the Prime Minister has faced growing calls from some Labour MPs to step down in recent weeks.