A £2,232 bet has been placed on Polymarket that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office beyond June 21. The trade suggests the market believes there is around a 1% chance Starmer will leave his post before that date.
The large trade, made by the user 'Parched-Sleet-Sale', closed a position backing Starmer's continued tenure as PM. Polymarket markets on the Labour leader's future have implied an ~86% chance he will have stepped down by June 21.