A £22,000 bet has been placed on Polymarket that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office past June 25. The trade suggests around a 63% chance that Starmer remains PM on that date.
The large wager comes as Starmer faces growing pressure from within his own party, with some Labour MPs publicly demanding he step down. However, the Polymarket data indicates the betting markets believe the PM is likely to weather the storm and stay in power in the coming months.