A £3,128 bet has been placed on Polymarket that Keir Starmer will still be Prime Minister on June 23. The large trade suggests the market sees around a ~1% chance of Starmer resigning or being ousted before that date.
The Polymarket market on Starmer's future as PM is currently pricing in a ~86% probability that he will have left office by the end of June. This latest £3.1k bet goes against that sentiment, with the trader expecting Starmer to remain in Downing Street on June 23.