A £3,100 Polymarket bet has been placed on Prime Minister Keir Starmer remaining in office by June 15, suggesting just a ~2% chance he will have resigned by that date.
The large trade comes as the market implies a low probability of Starmer departing Downing Street in the coming months. Polymarket participants are currently pricing in around an 86% chance the PM will still be in post by the end of the year.