A large £3,400 bet placed on Polymarket suggests there is around a 90% chance that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will resign from Downing Street by June 30, according to the market's implied probability.
The trade, made by an anonymous user named 'LlamaLoco0000', closed a position betting on Starmer's departure by the end of the month. The high stake and market pricing point to a high likelihood of the Prime Minister stepping down in the coming weeks.