A large £3,900 bet has been placed on Polymarket that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office on June 15, implying just a ~2% chance of his resignation by that date.
The anonymous trader 'Flickering-Ratio' opened the position, suggesting strong confidence in Starmer surviving as PM through the middle of June. Polymarket markets currently indicate a low probability of Starmer's exit in the coming months.