A £4,200 bet has been placed on the Polymarket platform that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office by June 15. The trade suggests around a ~4% chance that Starmer will remain PM on that date.
The large trade was made by an account named 'Dishonest-Goddess'. Polymarket markets allow traders to bet on the likelihood of political events, with 'Yes' bets paying out if the event occurs and 'No' bets if it does not.