A large £794 bet has been placed on Polymarket suggesting an ~86% chance that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will resign before June 15. The trade implies the market sees a high likelihood of Starmer's exit in the coming weeks.
The Polymarket market on Starmer's future as PM is currently pricing in around a 10% chance he will still be in office on June 15. This suggests a growing belief among traders that the Labour leader's position has become increasingly precarious.