A Polymarket trader known as 'Triangular-Down' has placed a £799 bet that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office on June 22. The trade implies a ~67% chance that Starmer will remain as PM on that date.
The market suggests Starmer is expected to survive in his role, despite ongoing calls from some Labour MPs for him to resign. The Prime Minister has faced pressure over various issues, but the Polymarket data indicates he is likely to hold on to power in the coming months.