A large £9,520 bet has been placed on Polymarket that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will leave Downing Street by July 31. The trade suggests the market sees around a ~96% chance of Starmer's resignation being announced by that date.
The anonymous trader 'Unsteady-Quinoa' opened the sizeable position, betting that Starmer will no longer be PM on or before July 31. Polymarket's odds imply the likelihood of Starmer departing by that deadline is close to certain.