A large £936 bet has been placed on Polymarket, suggesting around a 21% chance that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office past June 23. The trade, made by user 'Better-Employ', is a vote of confidence in Starmer's political survival.
The June 23 market on Polymarket is a binary contract that pays out if Starmer is still Prime Minister on that date. The ~21% implied probability suggests the market believes there is a reasonable chance Starmer will remain PM beyond the speculated leadership challenge.