A £977 bet has been placed on Polymarket that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office on June 24. The trade suggests the market currently implies around a ~38% chance that Starmer will remain PM on that date.
The large trade comes as Starmer faces growing pressure from within his own party, with several Labour MPs publicly calling for his resignation in recent weeks. However, the Polymarket data indicates the market still sees a significant chance of Starmer surviving in the role beyond the end of June.