PM Starmer's resignation date moves 3 days earlier to 10 Sept 2026

· implied p50 shift

Briefing

The Prime Minister's expected resignation date has been brought forward by 3 days, from 13 September 2026 to 10 September 2026, according to the latest Polymarket betting data.

This shift in the implied resignation timeline comes as markets continue to assess Starmer's political future. The ~86% chance of his resignation by the new date suggests increased uncertainty around his continued leadership.