PM Starmer's resignation date pushed back by one day to 2 Oct 2026

· implied p50 shift

Briefing

The date by which Prime Minister Keir Starmer must announce his resignation has been pushed back by one day, from 1 Oct 2026 to 2 Oct 2026, according to the latest Polymarket betting data.

The shift in the implied resignation date comes as the odds of Starmer remaining PM on that date have increased to ~86%. The Prime Minister has so far resisted calls from some Labour MPs to step down.