The Prime Minister's expected resignation date has been pushed back by 1 day, from 7 October 2026 to 8 October 2026, according to the latest Polymarket betting data. This suggests the likelihood of Starmer remaining as PM on that date has increased to ~86%.
The shift comes as the political landscape continues to evolve around the Labour leader. Starmer has faced mounting pressure from within his own party, but has so far resisted calls to step down.