PM Starmer's expected resignation date shifts later by 3 days

· implied p50 shift

Briefing

The expected resignation date for Prime Minister Keir Starmer has shifted 3 days later, from 8 September 2026 to 11 September 2026, according to Polymarket data.

The change in the implied resignation date suggests growing uncertainty around Starmer's political future, with the ~86% probability of him stepping down by the original date now reduced.