PM Starmer's resignation deadline extended by 2 days to October 16th

· implied p50 shift

Briefing

Prime Minister Keir Starmer's deadline to announce his resignation has been pushed back by 2 days, from October 14th to October 16th, according to the latest Polymarket data.

The shift comes as the probability of Starmer remaining as PM on the original date has risen to ~86%. The extension provides the Labour leader more time to shore up support within his party before a potential exit.