A £1.1k Polymarket trade suggests the market sees around a 12% chance that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will resign or be ousted before June 30. The bet was placed by the trader 'Acrobatic-Stepdaughter' and closed their position.
The June 30 market implies the market believes there is a ~88% chance Starmer will still be Prime Minister on that date. Polymarket is a decentralized prediction market platform where users can bet on the outcomes of future events.