The Prime Minister's expected resignation date has been brought forward by 2 days, from 16 October 2026 to 14 October 2026, according to the latest Polymarket data.
The shift in the implied resignation date suggests the political situation around the PM may be evolving, though the reasons are not yet clear. Starmer continues to face pressure from some Labour MPs, with around ~86% of the party's MPs now publicly calling for him to step down.