A £1,805 Polymarket bet has been placed on Prime Minister Keir Starmer remaining in office by June 30, according to the betting platform. The trade implies around a ~13% chance that Starmer will still be PM on that date.
The large wager comes as Starmer faces growing pressure from within his own party, with a number of Labour MPs publicly calling for him to resign. However, the Polymarket data suggests the market still sees a relatively low probability of Starmer departing before the summer.