A £1,209 Polymarket bet has been placed on the outcome that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office on June 30, according to the market data. The trade implies around a 15% chance that Starmer will remain PM beyond that date.
The Polymarket market on Starmer's future has seen significant trading activity, with this latest large bet signalling continued uncertainty over the Prime Minister's political prospects in the coming months.