A large £1.4k Polymarket bet has been placed on Keir Starmer remaining as Prime Minister beyond May 31, with the market implying a ~0% chance he will have stepped down by that date.
The trade suggests growing confidence among some political gamblers that the Prime Minister will weather any challenges to his leadership in the coming months. However, the low probability reflected in the market indicates many still expect Starmer to face pressure to resign in the near future.