A £939 Polymarket bet has been placed on the outcome that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office on May 31. The trade, made by user 'Tall-Pike', reflects a market view that there is around a 0% chance Starmer will have resigned by that date.
The large trade on the 'Starmer still PM on May 31' outcome suggests the market sees little prospect of the Labour leader stepping down in the coming months. Polymarket's implied probability of Starmer remaining in office on May 31 is ~86%.