A £1,277 bet has been placed on Polymarket that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will leave Downing Street by June 22. The large trade suggests the market sees around an 81% chance of Starmer's resignation being announced by that date.
The anonymous trader, known as 'Empty-Avenue', opened the position on the June 22 market, which is currently pricing in a high probability that Starmer will step down as Labour leader and Prime Minister in the coming weeks.