£800 bet on PM Starmer staying in office past June 24

· large trade ·June 21

Briefing

A £806 bet has been placed on Polymarket that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office by June 24. The market currently implies around a ~48% chance that Starmer will remain PM on that date.

The large trade, made by user 'Fantastic-Subject', suggests some confidence that Starmer will weather any potential challenges to his leadership in the coming months. However, the market odds still indicate a significant chance of an earlier-than-expected exit for the Prime Minister.