The odds of Keir Starmer remaining as Prime Minister by June 23 have shortened from ~85% to ~90%, according to Polymarket. The 5-percentage point shift suggests increased confidence in Starmer surviving past the closely watched date.
A £3,000 Polymarket bet is now priced at ~90% chance of Starmer still being PM on June 23, up from ~85% previously. The change in market sentiment comes amid ongoing speculation over Starmer's political future.