A large £8.9k bet has been placed on Polymarket, signaling a 100% implied probability that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will leave Downing Street by June 30. The trade is the latest in a series of high-stakes wagers on Starmer's political future.
The market's pricing suggests the resignation announcement is all but certain to come before the end of June, though the exact timing remains unclear. Polymarket users have staked over £8,900 on Starmer's departure by that date, a strong signal of confidence in the outcome.