A £1,600 Polymarket bet has signaled the market believes there is a 100% chance Prime Minister Keir Starmer will resign from Downing Street by June 30.
The large trade, closed by anonymous trader 'Silent-Obsidian', indicates the market is pricing in a near-certainty that Starmer's tenure as PM will end within the next two months. Polymarket's 'Starmer leaving Downing Street by June 30' market is trading at ~100% implied probability.