A large £2.8k bet has been placed on Polymarket, signaling a 100% implied probability that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will leave Downing Street by June 30. The trade, made by the user 'Villainous-Volatility', closed a position betting on Starmer's resignation being announced by that date.
The sizeable £2.8k stake suggests high confidence in Starmer's exit, with the Polymarket prediction market pricing in a 100% chance of the Prime Minister's departure by the end of June. This comes amid ongoing speculation around Starmer's political future as Labour leader.