£1.3k bet on PM Starmer leaving by October 31, market signals ~98% chance

· large trade ·October 31

Briefing

A £1.3k bet has been placed on Keir Starmer leaving the role of Prime Minister by October 31, according to data from the Polymarket prediction market. The market currently signals around a 98% chance that Starmer's resignation will be announced by that date.

The large trade, made by an account named 'Blaring-Backdrop', suggests growing confidence in Starmer's imminent departure from Downing Street. Polymarket is a platform that allows users to speculate on the outcomes of real-world events through the use of cryptocurrency-based prediction markets.