A Polymarket betting market tracking the likelihood of Prime Minister Keir Starmer resigning by June 22 has seen a significant shift, with the implied probability of his exit falling from ~71% to ~61% - a 10 percentage point drop.
The change in market odds comes amid ongoing speculation over Starmer's political future, with the Prime Minister facing pressure from some within his own party. However, the PM has repeatedly stated his intention to lead Labour into the next general election.