£2k bet on PM Starmer leaving Downing Street by June 30, market signals ~86% chance

· large trade ·June 30

Briefing

A £2,000 bet has been placed on Keir Starmer leaving his role as Prime Minister by June 30, according to Polymarket data. The market currently signals around an 86% chance that Starmer's resignation will be announced by that date.

The large trade, made by an account called 'Dead-Skylight', suggests growing speculation over the PM's political future. Polymarket is a decentralized prediction market platform where users can bet on the outcomes of real-world events.