A £1,300 bet has been placed on Polymarket that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will leave Downing Street by July 31. The large trade suggests the market believes there is around a 40% chance Starmer's resignation will be announced by that date.
The anonymous trader, known as 'Unfit-Hardboard', opened the position on the 'Starmer leaving Downing Street by July 31' market. Polymarket is a decentralised prediction platform where users can bet on the outcomes of real-world events.