A £1,329 bet has been placed on Polymarket, a prediction market, that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will leave Downing Street by June 30. The trade suggests the market sees around a 10% chance of Starmer's resignation being announced by that date.
The large wager, made by a trader known as 'Sparse-Effectiveness', is the latest sign of intense speculation around Starmer's political future. Polymarket allows users to bet on the outcomes of real-world events, with the market prices reflecting the collective assessment of participants.